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Prediction markets for Popular
Prediction markets for Popular
What will be the most popular Wikipedia article in 2024?
Dec 8, 1:32 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
355
47315
Will a Democrat win an absolute majority of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Sep 14, 4:28 PM
Feb 1, 6:59 AM
25.69%
chance
53
9677
Option
Votes
YES
NO
347
43
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have won the popular vote?
Jun 6, 8:12 PM
Jan 20, 5:01 PM
54.39%
chance
360
49139
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1265
564
Which will be the most popular hardware store of 2024
Jun 8, 2:02 AM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
36
17601
Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]
Jan 15, 8:44 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
43.19%
chance
80
63454
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1207
461
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
Jul 2, 4:14 PM
Jan 20, 6:00 PM
83.43%
chance
369
41186
Option
Votes
NO
YES
6213
1440
Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
Oct 21, 3:29 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
61.26%
chance
122
10721
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2111
1898
How will the 2024 election popular vote compare to the polls? (2-party, 538)
Jun 20, 1:21 AM
Dec 2, 6:59 AM
5
1570
Will an AI be able to speedrun any popular video game faster than the human WR by the end of 2024?
Sep 24, 9:16 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
17.87%
chance
227
24830
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3913
657
Will Trump lose the 2024 popular vote by at least 10M votes?
Aug 28, 12:05 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
11.02%
chance
118
62464
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4796
838
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
Sep 30, 12:43 AM
Nov 6, 1:29 PM
44.81%
chance
208
31387
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1237
384
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the threshold for activation by the 2024 election? [Res. PROB]
Jul 1, 7:32 PM
Nov 6, 4:59 AM
20.67%
chance
32
2044
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1029
964
Articles
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Authors
12
14 days
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Music Video Released for 'Popular' by The Weeknd, Madonna & Playboi Carti in Italy at VULTURES Event
Authors
6
4 months
Culture
Madonna, Playboi Carti Join The Weeknd's 'Popular' Video Premiere at Fortnite's FN Festival February 15-18
Authors
9
5 months
Culture
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