Poll of Polls News

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)

May 16, 4:58 PMJul 8, 6:59 PM

63.13%chance

449179836

OptionVotes

YES

63757

43803

Will 538 polling predict the correct winner of the presidential election?

Jan 10, 3:33 AMNov 13, 7:59 AM

58.25%chance

381754

OptionVotes

YES

1152

683

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling on 538 at the beginning of July?

May 17, 4:17 AMJul 1, 6:59 PM

60.69%chance

6214187

OptionVotes

YES

1268

821

In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?

Mar 17, 7:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42%chance

5010082

OptionVotes

YES

1114

748

Will RFK Junior reach 5 percent of the national Popular Vote? Current 538 polling average is 10.1 percent.

Apr 30, 1:24 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM

39.01%chance

272486

OptionVotes

YES

1130

674

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling on 538 at the beginning of August?

May 17, 4:18 AMAug 8, 6:59 PM

61.06%chance

2811879

OptionVotes

YES

1252

799

Will one of the monthly "has weak AGI been achieved" polls regress during 2024?

Jun 9, 4:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.86%chance

10457

OptionVotes

YES

1389

720

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?

Jan 7, 11:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.92%chance

261162

OptionVotes

YES

992

968

Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of August?

Apr 25, 2:42 PMSep 1, 3:59 AM

44.03%chance

20742

OptionVotes

YES

1159

849

Will the U.K. Conservative Party lead in a national poll by the end of 2025?

Jun 30, 2:30 PMJan 5, 11:00 AM

24.6%chance

20990

OptionVotes

YES

996

987

Will Elon Musk retweet, quote tweet, or reply to any of Aella's polls by the end of 2024?

Jan 30, 10:06 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

26.29%chance

431686

OptionVotes

YES

1024

868

Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of October?

Apr 26, 4:36 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

55.06%chance

21521

OptionVotes

YES

1038

965

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Poll of Polls News

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Prediction markets for Poll of Polls

Prediction markets for Poll of Polls

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)

Will 538 polling predict the correct winner of the presidential election?

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling on 538 at the beginning of July?

In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?

Will RFK Junior reach 5 percent of the national Popular Vote? Current 538 polling average is 10.1 percent.

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling on 538 at the beginning of August?

Will one of the monthly "has weak AGI been achieved" polls regress during 2024?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?

Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of August?

Will the U.K. Conservative Party lead in a national poll by the end of 2025?

Will Elon Musk retweet, quote tweet, or reply to any of Aella's polls by the end of 2024?

Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of October?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Poll of Polls

Prediction markets for Poll of Polls

Prediction markets for Poll of Polls

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)

Will 538 polling predict the correct winner of the presidential election?

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling on 538 at the beginning of July?

In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?

Will RFK Junior reach 5 percent of the national Popular Vote? Current 538 polling average is 10.1 percent.

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling on 538 at the beginning of August?

Will one of the monthly "has weak AGI been achieved" polls regress during 2024?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?

Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of August?

Will the U.K. Conservative Party lead in a national poll by the end of 2025?

Will Elon Musk retweet, quote tweet, or reply to any of Aella's polls by the end of 2024?

Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of October?

Latest stories