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Prediction markets for Platformer

Will Interactive Broker's prediction market platform have $100mm in volume in 2024?

Jun 30, 4:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.97%chance

141424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10227

9814

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Oct 29, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.91%chance

20614823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3082

2785

Will it be easy to conjure Sydney chatbot on Bing or other platforms by January 2025?

Feb 18, 11:33 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

48.98%chance

146182

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1648

1175

will i be able to finish my game (Yet Another 2d Platformer) in 2024

Feb 1, 8:37 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47.36%chance

12222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

992

Will the showrunner.xyz streaming platform reach 100,000 monthly active users by May 30, 2025?

May 30, 9:01 PMMay 30, 9:59 PM

55.92%chance

2322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1126

888

Will AI generated content be ~50% or more of content creation on major social media platforms in 2025?

Jun 29, 5:44 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

38.41%chance

272594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

780

Will Spotify remain the most popular music streaming platform in the US at the end of 2027?

Jan 11, 4:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.54%chance

10120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

960

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2025?

Aug 16, 3:07 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.97%chance

111243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

965

Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2027?

Jan 11, 2:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.37%chance

13314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

900

Will any social media platform surpass Facebook in terms of global active users by the end of 2025?

Jan 23, 3:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47%chance

14289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

914

Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2027?

Jan 11, 1:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.47%chance

14345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

960

Will it be possible to convert mana into real money either on Manifold or any other platform by 2025?

Jul 31, 2:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.49%chance

403764

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1253

519

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