Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Plasma News
Prediction markets for Plasma
Prediction markets for Plasma
Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?
Dec 8, 1:43 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
73.32%
chance
13
336
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1086
955
Will KDE Plasma 6 be available in Debian 13 (stable)?
Feb 29, 3:48 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
78.82%
chance
8
380
Option
Votes
NO
YES
375
177
Will ITER create first plasma before the end of 2025?
Jun 18, 5:15 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
4.13%
chance
10
969
Option
Votes
YES
NO
860
72
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
291609
Who will create Manifold's Meme of the Year?
May 3, 6:32 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
4
456
[Add options] What will be voted the funniest out-of-context Manifold comment at the end of 2024?
Apr 3, 3:42 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11
1011
Conditional on my RSI improving before 2030, what will the main reason be?
Aug 18, 9:17 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
22
1119
Will Bryan Johnson get his plasmalogens measured by OpenCures in 2024?
Sep 10, 11:49 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
"The Market" 1 year: Will the average probability of this market be >50%?
Jan 27, 11:25 PM
Jan 28, 5:59 AM
16.12%
chance
67
130059
Option
Votes
YES
NO
703
131
Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
Jan 8, 9:55 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
2.32%
chance
6
439
Option
Votes
YES
NO
549
103
Will Elon Musk ever set foot on Mars?
Aug 4, 2:39 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
19.68%
chance
72
15280
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1134
987
Will the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?
Jul 22, 12:56 PM
Dec 1, 5:59 AM
39.91%
chance
59
30521
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1348
682
Articles
Latest stories
No stories found