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Prediction markets for Places to Be
Will the open water swimming events be able to take place in the Seine river for the Paris 2024 Olympic Games?
Aug 6, 8:26 PM
Aug 31, 9:59 PM
48.53%
chance
29
2751
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1270
471
Will I be able to place the same question's pool on two separate market pages before 1 July 2024?
Mar 23, 4:04 AM
Jul 1, 7:00 AM
4.73%
chance
3
512
Option
Votes
YES
NO
519
39
Will manifold users be unable to place a bet for at least 20 minutes on election night
Apr 6, 11:12 AM
Nov 9, 4:59 AM
43.9%
chance
4
95
Option
Votes
YES
NO
175
146
Will it be possible to place an atomically-executed batch of bets through the Manifold API by end of 2024?
Jan 6, 2:09 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
17.21%
chance
6
136
Option
Votes
YES
NO
246
112
If there was one place in the world to go to, where would it be?
Nov 21, 10:21 PM
0
0
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
513
321790
Which conspiracies will be confirmed in the NYT before 2040?
Mar 12, 2:27 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23
3793
Weekend Box Office Number 1’s [Q2]
Mar 17, 12:48 AM
Jul 2, 6:59 AM
10
6058
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Jun 22, 6:46 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
10
2468
Which will win the table tennis rematch
Jun 19, 1:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2
160
When will Apple break $180? (which day?)
Apr 3, 2:21 AM
Jun 3, 3:59 AM
15
60270
Who or what is the Monster In The Darkness (Order of the Stick)?
Apr 7, 4:56 AM
Oct 2, 3:59 AM
5
184
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Fred Again and Skrillex Draw 20,000 Fans to San Francisco Civic Center Concert on Saturday
Authors
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28 days
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