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Party Responsibly News
Prediction markets for Party Responsibly
Prediction markets for Party Responsibly
Was a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack?
Oct 3, 9:40 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
88.86%
chance
12
843
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1653
862
Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party? [Free Response]
Oct 25, 8:38 AM
Nov 1, 11:59 PM
27
3093
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
146
35229
Will China suffer a financial crash in 2024?
Jan 9, 8:11 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
30.85%
chance
16
602
Option
Votes
NO
YES
993
990
Will an English encyclopedia exceeding 15 billion words be created before May 2028?
May 23, 10:15 PM
May 1, 7:00 AM
30.13%
chance
21
284
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1086
952
Will Google suffer significant consequences over violating its ads standards around opt-out?
Jun 28, 10:55 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
33.63%
chance
22
362
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1059
965
If Manifold adds the ability to place stop orders, will the people who asked for them regret it within a month?
Nov 5, 4:02 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
57.04%
chance
13
292
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1011
982
Will the U.S. Congress pass, a bill by January 10, 2025 a major bill which regulates AI.
Aug 12, 12:00 AM
Jan 12, 4:59 AM
13.68%
chance
27
3324
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1591
789
Will the Las Vegas Sphere have a PR disaster by the end of 2024? [Ṁ300 Pool]
Oct 3, 4:37 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
35.87%
chance
23
939
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1131
897
Will AI-generated video be used to get away with a criminal (felony) loss of life before the end of 2025?
Feb 19, 4:41 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
10.77%
chance
10
225
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1147
960
Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?
Aug 10, 3:59 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
69.48%
chance
5
623
Option
Votes
NO
YES
95
80
What illnesses will I learn that I have conditional on investigating?
Nov 16, 2:05 AM
Nov 23, 7:59 AM
2
26
Articles
Latest stories
SF Seizes 9M Fentanyl Doses, Makes 428 Arrests in 2023; Fireworks Kill One on Treasure Island
Authors
9
6 months
San Francisco
Politics
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