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Pacific Time News
Prediction markets for Pacific Time
Prediction markets for Pacific Time
Biden wins which states? Plus 36 other weird election markets. Tons of mana, 12k liquidity
Nov 23, 7:42 AM
Nov 9, 7:59 AM
110
37228
How long will TSLABull be making large (>50k) bets for, in the next 3 months?
Jun 12, 2:19 AM
Sep 13, 6:59 AM
7
1979
Which strategy will get the best Brier Score on the 2024 ACX prediction contest?
Jan 4, 6:39 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
19
8113
When will Trump's VP pick be officially announced?
Jun 25, 1:18 AM
Jul 20, 6:59 AM
98
71368
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (RCP Currently Trump +1.9%)
Jan 26, 7:24 PM
Nov 7, 7:59 AM
531
243287
Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1000 from Manifold "prize points" in 2024?
Apr 24, 4:07 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
59%
chance
79
8901
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2574
2232
On what day will our baby be born?
Jun 26, 1:36 AM
Jul 8, 6:59 AM
32
154791
Will manifold introduce a mechanism for retroactive market closure in 2024?
Jan 2, 8:56 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
33.45%
chance
62
4851
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1058
669
Will Trump beat Biden in these swing state polls on November 1st?
Mar 15, 5:01 PM
Nov 1, 6:00 PM
92
6314
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on July 13th?
May 22, 11:01 PM
Jul 13, 6:59 AM
92.67%
chance
63
18739
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4492
1286
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
Mar 22, 5:09 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
49.89%
chance
38
3058
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1087
874
Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2025? (May 5)
May 5, 2:48 PM
May 6, 3:59 AM
60.02%
chance
17
868
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1139
705
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