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Prediction markets for P5

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.23%chance

262537715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3134

1688

What will be true about 2024's Time Person of the Year?

Dec 11, 1:36 PMDec 19, 4:59 AM

334290

Will Nvidia stock crash before the S&P500?

May 29, 5:23 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

74.81%chance

517376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1723

580

Will S&P500 grow more than 100% within any period which is no longer that 365 days before 2035?

Jun 9, 9:49 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

39.36%chance

201524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

806

Will the S&P500 grow faster than inflation between 2023-2025?

Nov 22, 11:39 PMJan 22, 8:01 AM

79.21%chance

352434

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1114

950

Will S&P500 grow more than 100% within any period which is no longer than 365 days before 2030?

Jun 8, 6:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

20.23%chance

172039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1986

504

Will the S&P500 be greater than 4x its Jan 1, 2023 price on Jan 1, 2033?

Feb 28, 9:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54.76%chance

17606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

972

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Feb 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.49%chance

178135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1465

883

If Pichai is NOT Alphabet CEO at the end of 2023, will GOOGL outperform the S&P500 in 2024?

May 2, 11:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will ARKK, a speculative innovation ETF, outperform S&P500 over the next 3 years?

Mar 3, 6:40 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

42.44%chance

8168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will an S&P500 company be found to have planned murder / torture to hide information, by EOY 2025?

Mar 19, 3:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.58%chance

3209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

"An artificial agent as a director of a S&P500 company" Stock

Apr 5, 11:48 AMApr 6, 2:59 AM

3252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

84

79

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