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Prediction markets for Over the Top
Prediction markets for Over the Top
Which will be the top 10 NEWEST media franchises to make over $10B according to Wikipedia on Jan 1st 2030?
Feb 3, 2:33 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
9
244
Will "Social status part 1/2: negotiations over obj..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Mar 21, 2:41 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
18.74%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
NO
YES
125
94
Which will be the top 3 NEWEST media franchises to make over $10B according to Wikipedia on Jan 1st 2030?
Dec 9, 3:36 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
13
650
Will the top 1% have over 33% of the wealth in US before 2025?
Jan 20, 3:44 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
40%
chance
7
156
Option
Votes
NO
YES
170
164
Give Directly will be in the top 5 most donated in Manifold for over 1 consecutive month before EOY 2025
Dec 31, 6:00 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
40.98%
chance
0
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
60
42
Will Trump's VP pick be one of the current top 3? (Burgum, Rubio, Vance)
Jun 15, 2:23 PM
Jul 31, 6:59 AM
69.71%
chance
392
168768
Option
Votes
NO
YES
73577
37099
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2025?
Aug 26, 1:33 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
158
58595
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024?
Mar 1, 7:31 PM
Jan 1, 7:40 AM
127
349679
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024? (open for trading)
Apr 4, 3:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8
502
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria)
Jan 24, 2:55 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
21.47%
chance
2779
1464477
Option
Votes
YES
NO
11419
4992
🧭Which of these things will happen before Ukraine joins NATO? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 6, 9:20 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
29
2748
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2024?
Jan 1, 7:36 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
102
27931
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Kelly Clarkson Earns Praise for Covers of 'Over the Rainbow' and 'Edge of Midnight'
Authors
5
3 months
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