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Outcome News
Prediction markets for Outcome
Prediction markets for Outcome
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
199
80893
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
513
325877
What will be the outcome of the Pivot?
Apr 18, 8:47 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
41
3690
Will Allan Lichtman's "The Keys to the White House" correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential election?
Mar 14, 12:13 AM
Nov 6, 4:59 AM
57.75%
chance
13
2351
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1099
894
Outcome of Elon Musk/X Corp's "thermonuclear lawsuit"
Nov 18, 2:04 PM
Dec 2, 4:59 AM
124
13039
Will the 2024 election have an entertaining outcome?
Sep 14, 4:50 PM
Jan 21, 2:59 AM
36.15%
chance
71
4118
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1444
1252
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Dec 27, 9:24 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
81.74%
chance
74
8685
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1581
922
Will Kalshi have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?
Aug 5, 6:19 AM
Jan 31, 10:59 PM
5.53%
chance
30
19066
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4955
501
The probability of "extremely bad outcomes e.g., human extinction" from AGI will be >5% in next survey of AI experts
Feb 24, 4:50 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
72.56%
chance
11
175
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1077
958
Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?
Feb 22, 12:01 AM
Nov 5, 5:59 AM
72.46%
chance
33
7217
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1243
877
Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?
Mar 28, 5:21 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
29.28%
chance
15
553
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1100
935
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?
May 24, 8:48 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
13
6002
Articles
Latest stories
Keanu Reeves Sports New Crew Cut for Jonah Hill's Dark Comedy 'Outcome'
Authors
6
4 months
Culture
Cameron Diaz in Talks to Star Opposite Keanu Reeves in Jonah Hill-Directed Dark Comedy 'Outcome' for Apple Original Films
Authors
12
4 months
Culture
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