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Top stories

Nicole Kidman, Daughter Sunday Rose, and Naomi Watts Stun at Balenciaga Show During Paris Fashion Week
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Prediction markets for Oscar

Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?

Feb 9, 3:48 PMDec 31, 10:01 PM

25.3%chance

8615509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1357

1113

Will Lady Gaga compete for the Oscar for best actress in 2025?

Apr 10, 4:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

49.5%chance

10155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

995

An Oscar winning movie features pickleball through 2025

Aug 22, 11:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.49%chance

14222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1141

936

Will Barack Obama be nominated for a Golden Globe or Oscar in the next three years [2024, 2025, and 2026]?

Dec 11, 4:19 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

49.73%chance

20455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1032

958

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23%chance

13114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

956

Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030?

Feb 8, 8:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.76%chance

11251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

960

[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Oscar Piastri or Daniel Ricciardo win a race?

Nov 23, 4:43 PMDec 9, 11:59 PM

34.13%chance

332740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

915

By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction

Mar 31, 12:22 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

17.96%chance

19302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1256

902

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

66.69%chance

281594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1120

898

Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028?

Dec 26, 12:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45.65%chance

331634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1156

808

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

63.83%chance

23505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

940

Will Zendaya get an Oscar nomination for her role in Challengers?

Apr 24, 3:47 AMMar 31, 6:59 AM

61.78%chance

12178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

964

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