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Ordinary Things News
Prediction markets for Ordinary Things
Prediction markets for Ordinary Things
The US becomes much more like shadowrun before EOY 2024
Sep 22, 5:53 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
18.95%
chance
11
228
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1168
929
[Metaculus] Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?
Nov 2, 12:28 AM
Jan 2, 8:00 AM
26.92%
chance
9
199
Option
Votes
YES
NO
217
168
When will the first robot be made that can go into a near-arbitrary kitchen and make a cup of tea?
Apr 18, 2:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11.28%
chance
46
3594
Option
Votes
YES
NO
598
306
Will interventions motivated by aliens, simulation arguments, acausal trade, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 6:54 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
13.69%
chance
8
315
Option
Votes
YES
NO
526
217
Articles
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98-Year-Old 'Nonna' Grande Charts on Hot 100 with 'Eternal Sunshine' Track
Authors
15
3 months
Culture
Nicki Minaj's 'Starships' Sees 813,803 Streams on Mar. 15; Grande's 98-Year-Old Nonna Charts
Authors
9
4 months
Culture
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