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Prediction markets for Option

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2729

2049

What will happen with record label lawsuits against Suno (AI music company) in 2024? Multiple options (not exclusive).

Jun 24, 5:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

257439

Will Tesla’s upcoming RoboTaxi have an optional steering wheel or pedals? 🚗⚡️🔋🔌🤖🦾

Apr 6, 1:35 AMJan 13, 12:59 PM

35.87%chance

231418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1493

289

Will reading in the schools be optional by 2060?

Dec 22, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

17556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

972

If Manifold removes the option to send mana to charity or redeem it for anything else of value, will Manifold be valued at >=$33 million USD before the end of 2024?

Feb 9, 1:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27%chance

13363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

956

Will Manifold give users better options to hide unimportant markets?

Nov 5, 7:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.87%chance

13279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

989

Will reading in the schools be optional by 2045?

Nov 12, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.56%chance

14586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

989

967

Will Google add AI image generation as an option to Google Images by the end of 2025?

Jun 30, 6:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.3%chance

320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

991

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options?

Dec 10, 3:14 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

41.81%chance

131376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

887

Will Manifold offer the option to convert points to cash in at least one US state by 2025?

Aug 3, 12:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

75.8%chance

13471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

941

911

🎧 Will the next version of AirPods Max have any updates other than USB-C and new color options?

Feb 29, 1:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.25%chance

10294

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1112

908

If Manifold implements a subscription option, will you be able to pay for it with Mana?

Feb 20, 4:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81%chance

251429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

970

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