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Prediction markets for One Planet

Will Luffy leave the planet in One Piece before 2026?

Mar 3, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.43%chance

7155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

159

If abiogenetically distinct alien life is discovered in the solar system before 2070, where will it be first discovered?

Dec 30, 8:52 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

161156

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?

Dec 29, 1:15 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

68.68%chance

151478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

175

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?

Dec 23, 2:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

47.08%chance

231012

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

951

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?

Dec 15, 1:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

23.63%chance

221385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

962

Will the first person to land on Mars ever return to Earth?

Feb 9, 6:33 PMFeb 10, 12:00 AM

69.57%chance

371506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

973

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055?

Dec 16, 3:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

32.8%chance

23938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

905

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055?

Dec 24, 12:28 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

27.7%chance

18849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

986

Cyber truck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

33.7%chance

224349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

930

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

70.27%chance

10336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

963

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2060?

Dec 17, 11:09 AMFeb 5, 10:59 PM

25.24%chance

221025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

921

Will Sam Altman know who I am? (5 year time frame)

May 3, 4:40 AMJan 4, 12:59 PM

62.96%chance

321058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

540

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