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One Day News
Prediction markets for One Day
Prediction markets for One Day
At the end of Blue Monday 2025 (Jan 15) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in the last 30 days to buy one bitcoin?
Jan 12, 7:49 PM
Jan 16, 4:59 AM
28.14%
chance
18
841
Option
Votes
NO
YES
990
983
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Jun 24, 6:52 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
16.13%
chance
1
25
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1024
867
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Jun 24, 6:52 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 break both 11M units sold and $800M sales in one day, the records that GTA5 set on release?
Dec 5, 2:49 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
91.45%
chance
17
357
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1256
940
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in one day in 2024?
Sep 7, 6:35 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
0.16%
chance
5
5372
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5470
45
Will @Vividvoid_ make at least one tweet during their 21 day 'solo meditation retreat' ?
Jun 19, 6:00 PM
Jul 10, 3:59 AM
10.06%
chance
5
230
Option
Votes
YES
NO
299
33
At the end of Juneteenth 2026 (June 19) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in the last 30 days to buy one bitcoin?
Jan 12, 7:48 PM
Jun 20, 3:59 AM
39.17%
chance
5
200
Option
Votes
YES
NO
166
97
Will I bike at least 50 miles in one day prior to August 1, 2024?
Jul 2, 3:42 AM
Aug 2, 6:59 AM
43.26%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
87
Will I subvert my internet blocks on a day that is not covered by one of my rolling commitment markets by EOY 2024.
Jun 24, 5:12 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20.37%
chance
3
159
Option
Votes
YES
NO
198
51
Will "A Quiet Place: Day One" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%?
Jun 16, 11:19 PM
Jul 13, 6:59 AM
13
4796
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in one day in 2024?
Jul 30, 5:10 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
1.21%
chance
14
2579
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3116
895
Percentage of YC Winter 2024 Batch to raise at least $1M one year after the end of Demo Day (4/4/24-4/4/25).
Jun 8, 11:10 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
1
260
Articles
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NFT
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