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Prediction markets for Official

When will Trump's VP pick be officially announced?

Jun 25, 1:18 AMJul 20, 6:59 AM

10874889

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

Aug 13, 1:00 PMAug 13, 10:59 PM

52.64%chance

954178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3352

3255

What will be the official cause of the Prigozhin plane crash as reported by Russia after their investigation?

Aug 23, 5:56 PMJun 30, 5:56 PM

31554628

Will the US officially enter a recession in 2023? (Announcement by NBER)

Dec 2, 4:38 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4.26%chance

11353777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9254

446

In 2024, will India or an international organization officially report an outbreak of wheat blast in India?

Dec 2, 1:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.57%chance

244138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2446

946

Will there be an officially registered Rationalussy Party before the 2024 U.S. elections?

Jul 22, 2:14 PMNov 6, 5:59 AM

4.17%chance

388991

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2397

835

Will a US local election official refuse to certify any state or federal election results in 2024?

Dec 2, 1:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.59%chance

492567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

1188

Will Brazil or Argentina officially approve a common currency before 2030?

Jan 23, 12:44 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

12.08%chance

5021816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2863

1088

Will OpenOffice.org be officially declared obsolete/unmaintained/archived by the Apache Foundation in 2024/2025?

Jan 30, 6:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.34%chance

351084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

828

Will Britain officially recognise Palestine as a state? 🇬🇧🇵🇸

Jan 31, 8:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

34.97%chance

28900

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

806

Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?

Dec 16, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.06%chance

27890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

819

Will Ukraine be an official member of NATO by 2025?

Jan 14, 9:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.05%chance

10515818

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3654

1182

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