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October Hamas attacks News
Prediction markets for October Hamas attacks
Prediction markets for October Hamas attacks
[Metaculus] Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?
Apr 23, 1:14 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
31.47%
chance
22
1921
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1052
797
On the first anniversary of October 7th attacks, will the Israel-Hamas war still be ongoing?
Mar 26, 5:28 AM
Oct 8, 6:59 AM
81.18%
chance
27
1056
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1626
777
Will Hezbollah attack northern Israel before Sept. 2024, similarly to how Hamas attacked southern Israel on October 7?
Apr 29, 3:16 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
16.76%
chance
9
231
Option
Votes
YES
NO
479
230
Did Netanyahu know about the Hamas attack before it commenced?
Oct 8, 6:48 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
23.42%
chance
56
4235
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1288
870
Will Israel hold elections before 7th October 2024?
Jun 17, 9:31 AM
Oct 6, 10:59 PM
15.07%
chance
26
2864
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2374
421
[Metaculus] Will any Israeli officials charged by the International Criminal Court before 2027?
Nov 28, 12:08 AM
Jan 2, 5:00 PM
89.78%
chance
14
2954
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1725
773
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