Octo News

Exit valuation of Octo (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:36 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

130

Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 1st October 2024? [10,000 Mana subsidy]

Apr 17, 2:17 PMSep 30, 10:59 PM

96.73%chance

22489565

OptionVotes

YES

46846

8001

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

30.61%chance

12915380

OptionVotes

YES

6926

4770

Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?

Sep 20, 1:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.13%chance

14945012

OptionVotes

YES

7301

2303

Will Biden physically fall down in public on camera again between October 8, 2023 and November 6, 2024?

Oct 8, 1:05 PMNov 6, 1:56 PM

47.55%chance

23118078

OptionVotes

YES

1622

1331

Will Destiny get unbanned from Twitch before October 2024?

Oct 2, 5:15 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

3%chance

175100139

OptionVotes

YES

6223

209

Will the BRICS countries announce an alternative to SWIFT at their summit in October 2024?

Dec 1, 9:09 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

19.03%chance

483234

OptionVotes

YES

2322

1516

Will Jensen Huang speak at any public event while not wearing a leather jacket before October 2024?

Mar 23, 4:31 AMOct 3, 6:59 AM

37.43%chance

14638

OptionVotes

YES

1064

952

Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?

Oct 21, 5:26 AMOct 21, 6:59 AM

25.73%chance

593326

OptionVotes

YES

1388

1106

Will the BRICS countries announce their intention to de-dollarize at their October 2024 summit?

Dec 1, 9:05 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

32.85%chance

453032

OptionVotes

YES

2028

650

Will the BRICS countries announce a university-ranking system at their summit in October 2024?

Dec 2, 7:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.01%chance

463817

OptionVotes

YES

1719

781

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:36 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM

59.98%chance

152082

OptionVotes

YES

1391

1127

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Octo News

Prediction markets for Octo

Prediction markets for Octo

Prediction markets for Octo

Exit valuation of Octo (YC S23)?

Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 1st October 2024? [10,000 Mana subsidy]

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?

Will Biden physically fall down in public on camera again between October 8, 2023 and November 6, 2024?

Will Destiny get unbanned from Twitch before October 2024?

Will the BRICS countries announce an alternative to SWIFT at their summit in October 2024?

Will Jensen Huang speak at any public event while not wearing a leather jacket before October 2024?

Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?

Will the BRICS countries announce their intention to de-dollarize at their October 2024 summit?

Will the BRICS countries announce a university-ranking system at their summit in October 2024?

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Octo

Prediction markets for Octo

Prediction markets for Octo

Exit valuation of Octo (YC S23)?

Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 1st October 2024? [10,000 Mana subsidy]

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?

Will Biden physically fall down in public on camera again between October 8, 2023 and November 6, 2024?

Will Destiny get unbanned from Twitch before October 2024?

Will the BRICS countries announce an alternative to SWIFT at their summit in October 2024?

Will Jensen Huang speak at any public event while not wearing a leather jacket before October 2024?

Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?