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Nuclear Trigger News
Prediction markets for Nuclear Trigger
Prediction markets for Nuclear Trigger
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
Mar 17, 10:40 PM
Jan 1, 7:00 PM
55.31%
chance
48
1704
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1071
921
Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?
Apr 22, 4:33 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.83%
chance
14
769
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1053
941
Viable ballotechnic nuclei by the end of 2024?
Feb 15, 4:35 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7.25%
chance
7
221
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1192
954
What will be true of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
Dec 30, 2:51 PM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
60
6524
Will Sizewell C nuclear power station go ahead?
Mar 11, 8:54 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
86.73%
chance
4
185
Option
Votes
NO
YES
345
93
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
Jan 1, 4:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
38.23%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
81.61%
chance
4
163
Option
Votes
NO
YES
189
74
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Sep 11, 4:21 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Dec 20, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6.18%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
29
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe in 2024
Sep 11, 4:23 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
34.38%
chance
4
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
135
93
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Kim Jong Un Conducts Multiple Missile Tests, Sends 'Warning Signal' to US
Authors
5
2 months
Economics
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