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None of the Above News
Prediction markets for None of the Above
Prediction markets for None of the Above
If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's success market resolve to "none of the above"?
Mar 23, 5:30 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
59.26%
chance
3
36
Option
Votes
NO
YES
95
84
If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's market resolve to "none of the above" or similar?
Mar 23, 5:28 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
3.76%
chance
9
438
Option
Votes
YES
NO
637
143
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Aug 19, 11:47 PM
Feb 19, 4:59 AM
761
177158
TikTok Ban Endgame: Which will happen first?
Mar 13, 6:17 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
140
21613
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
Aug 18, 4:14 PM
Feb 2, 4:59 AM
171
37922
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Aug 20, 12:02 AM
Feb 20, 4:59 AM
242
98750
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?
Nov 22, 9:50 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
19
1909
What will happen with record label lawsuits against Suno (AI music company) in 2024? Multiple options (not exclusive).
Jun 24, 5:48 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25
4962
What will happen to Hugging Face?
Feb 22, 8:19 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
74
1828
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
332
289768
🐲How many Top Creators will I Slay by the end of 2024?
Feb 29, 8:25 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
57
22057
Which countries will reach the moon before Bitcoin?
Feb 12, 6:45 PM
Feb 12, 7:29 PM
33
2623
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