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Nobody Gets Me News
Prediction markets for Nobody Gets Me
Prediction markets for Nobody Gets Me
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Sep 30, 5:54 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
43.11%
chance
714
302497
Option
Votes
NO
YES
21793
17437
Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town
Jun 17, 4:16 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
7
9075
With the lawyers that sued Tesla to block Elon Musk's pay receive at least $1 billion?
Mar 2, 3:22 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
25%
chance
23
2414
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1400
816
Will someone (who isn't google) extract & open-source the Gemini Nano weights by the end of 2024?
Dec 8, 6:19 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
52.75%
chance
20
1481
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1188
768
Will the trans community agree on a single, grammatically-singular, gender-neutral pronoun to use before 2035?
Mar 29, 8:47 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
8.79%
chance
21
622
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1289
943
Will the 2024 US presidential election be decided in the House of Representatives?
Aug 4, 2:58 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6.84%
chance
29
1492
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1070
915
If I try to convince my 105 year old neighbor to sign up for cryonics, will I succeed?
Nov 28, 6:57 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
4.12%
chance
38
2534
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1763
917
Will one of the characters in amazing digital circus get extracted until the end of 2024?
May 5, 6:03 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
43.26%
chance
1
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
87
Will Jack Smith seek Aileen Cannon's recusal from Trump documents case before the election?
Mar 22, 1:39 PM
Nov 6, 4:59 AM
27.36%
chance
7
183
Option
Votes
YES
NO
316
165
How can I get this huge list of Google Photos bugs fixed? [currently a 43m long rambling video]
Nov 15, 10:47 PM
9
0
Create Gaming Markets and Groups
Aug 2, 1:42 AM
Aug 2, 2:29 PM
0
0
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