Nobel News

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Jan 26, 12:54 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.19%chance

9710254

OptionVotes

YES

1610

1560

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Oct 3, 10:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.28%chance

714986

OptionVotes

YES

1680

1317

Will one of my descendants win a Nobel in my lifetime?

Nov 18, 7:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.91%chance

11469

OptionVotes

YES

1417

939

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Jul 28, 10:19 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

8.42%chance

9926617

OptionVotes

YES

5060

1160

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.67%chance

373225

OptionVotes

YES

1013

859

Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?

Sep 18, 1:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

50.26%chance

22777

OptionVotes

YES

1000

997

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Mar 9, 4:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.37%chance

18525

OptionVotes

YES

1033

931

Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?

Feb 20, 3:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.05%chance

12141

OptionVotes

YES

1022

983

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

39.17%chance

271215

OptionVotes

YES

1065

853

Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

Oct 8, 10:08 PMJan 13, 6:59 AM

27.96%chance

14278

OptionVotes

YES

1072

954

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Dec 22, 7:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.96%chance

30964

OptionVotes

YES

1038

955

Will Daron Acemoglu win a Nobel Prize by 2028?

May 25, 2:56 AMDec 1, 11:59 PM

31.62%chance

16779

OptionVotes

YES

1018

972

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Nobel News

Prediction markets for Nobel

Prediction markets for Nobel

Prediction markets for Nobel

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will one of my descendants win a Nobel in my lifetime?

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Will Daron Acemoglu win a Nobel Prize by 2028?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Nobel

Prediction markets for Nobel

Prediction markets for Nobel

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will one of my descendants win a Nobel in my lifetime?

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Will Daron Acemoglu win a Nobel Prize by 2028?

Latest stories