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Prediction markets for No 10

There will be no restrictions on Chinese citizens ability to access education or healthcare in any city with more than 10 million people based on rural Hukou by the end of 2025

Sep 8, 12:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.88%chance

14518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

958

Will an AI autonomously earn more than $10,000 not through financial trading, starting with no more than $100 by 2026?

Jun 15, 8:14 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

28.32%chance

465531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1591

629

Will California AI regulation bill SB 1047 become law this session?

Feb 12, 4:05 PMSep 2, 3:59 AM

58.1%chance

11737820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

57520

40653

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Jan 20, 12:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

52.52%chance

143228161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1340

919

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Jan 2, 8:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.99%chance

231187884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25697

11638

Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?

Jan 13, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.15%chance

12938324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13328

9836

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

Mar 8, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.23%chance

99359673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1752

1517

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.82%chance

69126413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1421

1384

[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Sep 11, 2:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.5%chance

68584940

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19532

10508

How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?

Jun 27, 4:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1815152

Will Trump win the US election if he has been convicted of a crime in his January 6th Federal Trial? [10k Subsidy]

Feb 21, 5:55 PMNov 11, 7:59 AM

46.64%chance

12643113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13174

8454

World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:13 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

60.33%chance

2913529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12221

9025

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