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News Letter News
Prediction markets for News Letter
Prediction markets for News Letter
Will the US government commit to legal restrictions on large AI training runs by January 1st, 2025?
Apr 1, 3:16 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
12.66%
chance
77
16955
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1770
1210
Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?
Jun 15, 1:27 PM
May 31, 4:00 AM
69.91%
chance
17
611
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1013
938
Will Zubear Abdi face legal trouble for sharing explicit photos of Taylor Swift generated by AI?
Jan 27, 3:16 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
61.41%
chance
24
484
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1035
896
Will another Israeli minister resign from the government before 2025?
Jun 14, 11:58 AM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
80.26%
chance
26
2121
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2016
496
Will a reputable news site or TV channel mention the Manifold pivot, starting from now to 2 months after the pivot?
Apr 23, 7:33 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
36.7%
chance
15
337
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1007
979
Will Threads have "culturally dethroned" Twitter as the de facto online public square at end of 2024?
Jul 15, 12:12 AM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
2.31%
chance
26
2901
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3303
807
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DUP Plans Upended by Leak, UK Gov Frustrated, Stormont at 'Complete Lockdown'
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4
5 months
Britain
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