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Prediction markets for New Business

There will be a new business vertical that uses prediction markets as a core feature by 2030

Sep 24, 3:33 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

52.54%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

85

What will Kevin McCarthy do first after resigning from Congress?

Dec 7, 1:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14477

(M20000 subsidy) covid restrictions to return?

Aug 23, 10:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.84%chance

94194184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

61001

19470

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

56.32%chance

271336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

925

♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?

Apr 7, 2:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

90.15%chance

10860

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3481

2513

What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Feb 28, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14635229

Will US Congress pass a bill in 2024 letting foreign governments tax US firms' digital-services profits?

Dec 1, 10:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.23%chance

3310201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3317

838

If convicted, will Donald Trump receive a custodial sentence in the NY criminal case?

Apr 5, 6:30 PMJul 11, 10:00 PM

15.93%chance

171733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2264

271

Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?

Mar 24, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.18%chance

14135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

967

Will the EU find Apple's App Store changes non-compliant with the DMA?

Feb 22, 11:51 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.81%chance

17338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

936

Will a new solid-state battery with an energy density exceeding 400 Wh/kg be commercially released by the end of 2024?

Nov 15, 5:44 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

25.51%chance

14585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

930

Will the Federal Trade Commission open an investigation into Mastercard restricting adult content?

Aug 31, 4:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.56%chance

13388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

949

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