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Prediction markets for NeurIPS
Prediction markets for NeurIPS
Will @firstuserhere coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024? (10,000 Mana subsidy)
Sep 4, 1:34 AM
Dec 31, 7:59 AM
24%
chance
100
261932
Option
Votes
YES
NO
20163
5966
Will @HastingsGreer coauthor an ICML or NeurIPS paper in 2024?
Oct 6, 1:55 AM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
4
25
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1110
1110
Will NeurIPS have an acceptance rate of at least 25% in 2024?
Sep 25, 9:20 AM
Oct 31, 10:59 PM
71.45%
chance
11
357
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1111
921
Will Neel Nanda's or Lee Sharkey's SERI MATS streams (Summer 2023) produce a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication?
Jul 23, 9:01 PM
Dec 31, 11:30 AM
31.03%
chance
18
1500
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1069
902
Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used/studied in at least five orals at NeurIPS 2027?
May 2, 7:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9.46%
chance
10
293
Option
Votes
YES
NO
309
32
How many citations will "Exploiting hidden structures in non-convex games..." from 2023 NeurIPS see by end of 2024?
Jan 16, 4:12 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
0
0
How many submissions will there be for NeurIPS 2024?
Sep 25, 9:26 AM
Oct 1, 9:59 PM
7
1006
Will any of the "Will [*] coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024?" markets resolve to YES?
Sep 21, 7:47 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
59%
chance
9
256
Option
Votes
YES
NO
188
124
NeurIPS 2024 Test of Time
Jan 11, 2:33 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8
530
Will @AlexbGoode coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024?
Sep 21, 3:21 PM
Dec 31, 7:59 AM
37.55%
chance
8
223
Option
Votes
YES
NO
205
128
Will I submit a first author (or cofirst author) conference paper to ICLR, NeurIPS or ICML in 2024?
Dec 31, 4:10 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
66.94%
chance
8
94
Option
Votes
NO
YES
133
94
Will @jskf coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024?
Sep 21, 7:43 PM
Dec 31, 7:59 AM
7.64%
chance
5
132
Option
Votes
YES
NO
310
111
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