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Net Rating News
Prediction markets for Net Rating
Prediction markets for Net Rating
Will it be conclusively shown (through some way) that slowing the aging rate of AI researchers down (eg interventions decreasing DNAm age) will increase their net output/productivity by 2029?
Jan 3, 8:10 AM
Jan 1, 6:01 AM
13.95%
chance
33
939
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1169
950
What will Biden’s net approval rating be on October 31st, 2024 per 538?
Feb 2, 3:55 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
20
3571
In which of the following years will the net rate of chemical conversion of hydrogen into hydrocarbons be positive?
Nov 17, 4:49 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
8
257
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.42%
chance
25
5858
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7798
3832
Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?
Nov 4, 2:28 PM
Nov 30, 11:59 PM
48.48%
chance
8
362
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1175
1174
Will Elon Musk's public image improve in 2025? 🚀📈
Mar 3, 10:43 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
22.04%
chance
16
495
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1201
904
At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?
Apr 4, 5:59 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
62.79%
chance
29
997
Option
Votes
NO
YES
994
980
Will I blow up all Mana and quit Manifold by July 1st 2024 ?
Apr 12, 8:11 PM
Aug 1, 9:59 PM
35%
chance
16
764
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1467
597
Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2024?
Jan 2, 9:13 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.69%
chance
52
3133
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1670
716
Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?
Feb 16, 3:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
51.8%
chance
36
2695
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1131
803
Wealth taxes on HNWIs to be implemented in the United States of America by 1st January 2029?
Aug 25, 8:28 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 PM
18.78%
chance
9
97
Option
Votes
YES
NO
290
177
Interest rate cuts: total basis points of cuts in 2024
Mar 27, 2:12 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
34
3597
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