Narrative News

Will human narration for audiobooks become mostly unnecessary before 2026?

Oct 16, 1:53 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

54.54%chance

26825926

OptionVotes

YES

1480

924

Will Rational animations use AI voice narration in at least one of the videos on the channel before 2024 end?

Jul 29, 4:07 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

33.41%chance

17278

OptionVotes

YES

1047

969

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

Jan 21, 2:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.89%chance

301224

OptionVotes

YES

1285

849

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2025?

Jan 21, 2:34 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.47%chance

424539

OptionVotes

YES

1540

812

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?

Jan 21, 2:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.07%chance

462516

OptionVotes

YES

1233

721

Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029

Jun 11, 2:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

84.78%chance

301167

OptionVotes

YES

1260

913

Will "Grant applications and grand narratives" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Jul 2, 11:08 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will "Grant applications and grand narratives" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Jul 2, 11:08 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.73%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

1099

985

Would the general public narrative about why Sam Altman was fired from OpenAI be significantly different 1 year later?

Nov 21, 12:22 PMNov 30, 6:29 AM

19.98%chance

202359

OptionVotes

YES

907

616

Will James Cameron ever direct another non-Avatar narrative feature film?

Jan 15, 7:56 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

68.74%chance

7113

OptionVotes

YES

246

155

The Chinese "debt trap" aid narrative will be seen to be true in 2030?

Oct 3, 3:36 PMOct 10, 10:59 PM

35%chance

660

OptionVotes

YES

180

129

Will "AI be able to do a ✨performance✨ like a really good audiobook narrator." before 2028?

Nov 10, 7:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.12%chance

6200

OptionVotes

YES

185

152

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Narrative News

Prediction markets for Narrative

Prediction markets for Narrative

Prediction markets for Narrative

Will human narration for audiobooks become mostly unnecessary before 2026?

Will Rational animations use AI voice narration in at least one of the videos on the channel before 2024 end?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2025?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?

Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029

Will "Grant applications and grand narratives" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Will "Grant applications and grand narratives" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Would the general public narrative about why Sam Altman was fired from OpenAI be significantly different 1 year later?

Will James Cameron ever direct another non-Avatar narrative feature film?

The Chinese "debt trap" aid narrative will be seen to be true in 2030?

Will "AI be able to do a ✨performance✨ like a really good audiobook narrator." before 2028?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Narrative

Prediction markets for Narrative

Prediction markets for Narrative

Will human narration for audiobooks become mostly unnecessary before 2026?

Will Rational animations use AI voice narration in at least one of the videos on the channel before 2024 end?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2025?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?

Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029

Will "Grant applications and grand narratives" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?