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Prediction markets for mouse

Will a laboratory mouse reach 8 years of age by the end of 2030?

Dec 27, 8:26 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

18.54%chance

16650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

937

Will the Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Study by the LEVF succeed in increasing mouse lifespan 12 months?

Jan 9, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.16%chance

272070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

981

Will Aubrey de Grey's 2022 Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Project "succeed" in its aims of finding an intervention that increases both mean and maximum lifespan of mice by at least 12 months?

Dec 24, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.6%chance

26801

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

928

Will Mickey Mouse appear unlicensed in a feature film this year?

Jan 2, 5:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.08%chance

675422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

808

Will top ai art generators implement copyright protection eg "no prompting for Mickey mouse" by end of 2024?

Nov 14, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.37%chance

271152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

831

Will mouse immortality be achieved before human immortality?

Jan 29, 3:40 PMFeb 5, 7:59 AM

76.1%chance

779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

241

135

Eye tracking will replace the computer mouse.

Nov 9, 12:10 AMNov 16, 10:59 AM

17.27%chance

7474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

110

Will Mickey Mouse appear in a slasher film in 2024?

Jan 8, 4:35 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

49.67%chance

5123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

126

Will Jose Luis Ricon murder a mouse?

Aug 13, 5:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

Will the House Mouse (Mus musculus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 19, 8:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.22%chance

6588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

806

120

Will there be one organoid/organ-on-a-chip on human organs with higher ROC-area for testing poisons than mouse studies?

Mar 28, 6:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.64%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

Will the mouse with the higher lifespan be found from Jose Luis Ricon's Rejuvenome or Aubrey de Grey's LEVF?

Jan 3, 8:45 AMDec 31, 6:01 PM

101037

Articles

Latest stories

New Bioluminescence Imaging Tracks Oxygen in Mouse Brain Revealing 'Hypoxic Pockets'
Authors
10
3 months
Science

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