Most Innovative Companies News

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

YES

1091

949

Will a new solid-state battery with an energy density exceeding 400 Wh/kg be commercially released by the end of 2024?

Nov 15, 5:44 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

25.51%chance

14585

OptionVotes

YES

1152

930

Will there be Section 230 reform before 2025?

May 19, 12:53 AMJan 4, 4:59 AM

44%chance

18448

OptionVotes

YES

1084

916

Will this tweet suggesting Extropic.AI is similar to Theranos be vindicated by mid 2028?

Mar 13, 9:26 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

58.19%chance

12537

OptionVotes

YES

1052

944

Will the largest AI training run in 2025 utilize Sophia, Second-order Clipped Stochastic Optimization?

May 25, 5:58 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

18.06%chance

191236

OptionVotes

YES

1341

881

Will Hugging Face be acquired before 2025?

Mar 22, 6:59 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

28.62%chance

15939

OptionVotes

YES

1303

816

Will a publicly listed pharma company reach $1T in market cap before 2025?

Aug 18, 8:04 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

50.8%chance

24862

OptionVotes

YES

1113

806

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach orbit before 2035?

May 13, 3:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

9%chance

151162

OptionVotes

YES

1569

823

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?

May 13, 3:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

25.62%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

185

100

Where will the next major breakthrough in AI originate from before 2025?

May 13, 2:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

673147

Will Aurora Innovation's driverless vehicle control system be used commercially by the end of 2024?

Apr 28, 9:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.73%chance

7335

OptionVotes

YES

138

Will Lucid and Aston Martin announce a merger by EOY 2024?

Feb 4, 9:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.84%chance

6123

OptionVotes

YES

288

226

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Most Innovative Companies News

Prediction markets for Most Innovative Companies

Prediction markets for Most Innovative Companies

Prediction markets for Most Innovative Companies

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Will a new solid-state battery with an energy density exceeding 400 Wh/kg be commercially released by the end of 2024?

Will there be Section 230 reform before 2025?

Will this tweet suggesting Extropic.AI is similar to Theranos be vindicated by mid 2028?

Will the largest AI training run in 2025 utilize Sophia, Second-order Clipped Stochastic Optimization?

Will Hugging Face be acquired before 2025?

Will a publicly listed pharma company reach $1T in market cap before 2025?

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach orbit before 2035?

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?

Where will the next major breakthrough in AI originate from before 2025?

Will Aurora Innovation's driverless vehicle control system be used commercially by the end of 2024?

Will Lucid and Aston Martin announce a merger by EOY 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Most Innovative Companies

Prediction markets for Most Innovative Companies

Prediction markets for Most Innovative Companies

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Will a new solid-state battery with an energy density exceeding 400 Wh/kg be commercially released by the end of 2024?

Will there be Section 230 reform before 2025?

Will this tweet suggesting Extropic.AI is similar to Theranos be vindicated by mid 2028?

Will the largest AI training run in 2025 utilize Sophia, Second-order Clipped Stochastic Optimization?

Will Hugging Face be acquired before 2025?

Will a publicly listed pharma company reach $1T in market cap before 2025?