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Most Beautiful News
Prediction markets for Most Beautiful
Prediction markets for Most Beautiful
Is the thiel fellowship the most beautiful thing in the world?
Jan 24, 4:33 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
16.55%
chance
3
70
Option
Votes
YES
NO
180
81
Will Imu be the most beautiful or the most ridiculous thing when revealed
Mar 17, 7:33 PM
9
0
What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
Apr 7, 7:59 PM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
256
170108
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
Suggest features.
Feb 22, 2:30 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
81
14560
On release, which of these prompts will OpenAI's Sora follow without obvious flaws?
Feb 15, 9:57 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
43
1792
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
May 22, 9:35 PM
Jul 7, 8:16 PM
133
60885
What alternative term for ‘eucatastrophe’ do you prefer?
Dec 1, 5:36 PM
Nov 9, 7:59 AM
16
783
Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030?
Apr 5, 2:16 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
47.78%
chance
8
134
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1167
1115
Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?
Jun 28, 2:39 AM
Jun 28, 3:59 AM
50.1%
chance
41
9906
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1099
798
Manifold Stock (Permanent)
Jan 2, 10:20 PM
Aug 11, 9:43 PM
42
9193
Option
Votes
YES
NO
947
897
If Biden drops out, will Polymarket's odds of Trump winning decrease in the subsequent week?
Jun 28, 7:58 PM
Nov 13, 5:59 AM
69.08%
chance
21
2125
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1495
669
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