Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
More Personal Computing News
Prediction markets for More Personal Computing
Prediction markets for More Personal Computing
In what year will mainstream personal computers first be advertised as "quantum"?
Apr 9, 5:08 PM
Jan 16, 8:00 AM
9
125
When will we get personal quantum computers? 🖥️
Oct 24, 8:26 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
10
376
Will Russia ban personal computers and public internet access by 2040?
Jul 25, 9:01 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
5.53%
chance
9
345
Option
Votes
YES
NO
365
151
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
Feb 14, 2:31 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
55.64%
chance
837
526090
Option
Votes
NO
YES
11105
8908
Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?
Jun 2, 9:12 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
25%
chance
66
13968
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2267
1026
Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?
Feb 18, 8:14 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
53.36%
chance
58
8061
Option
Votes
NO
YES
975
958
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
Jul 10, 6:56 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
22.26%
chance
18
2157
Option
Votes
NO
YES
977
970
Which computational universe do we live in?
Sep 17, 5:07 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
25
3259
In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)
Jul 28, 1:21 PM
Jan 1, 2:08 PM
70.85%
chance
14
624
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1543
892
Will the best public LLM at the end of 2025 solve more than 5 of the first 10 Project Euler problems published in 2026?
Oct 26, 10:09 PM
Feb 2, 7:59 AM
38.75%
chance
22
2770
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1634
234
Will a consumer-grade autonomous AI be released by an established tech firm by the end of 2024?
Sep 14, 4:23 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32.11%
chance
10
159
Option
Votes
NO
YES
995
995
Will any state or company implement mass production of living humans by 2200?
Mar 2, 5:39 PM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
26.83%
chance
17
559
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1014
981
Articles
Latest stories
Microsoft Q2 Revenue Hits $62B, EPS at $2.93; Cloud and AI Drive Growth
Authors
31
5 months
Economics
AI
Business
Previous
Next
