MONEY News

What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include?

May 30, 9:51 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

354112776

Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

Oct 26, 5:58 PMNov 6, 5:59 AM

50.64%chance

8417779

OptionVotes

YES

1809

1071

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.39%chance

29661

OptionVotes

YES

1338

928

Will Scarlett Johansson receive money from OpenAI as a settlement, compensation, or damages by the end of 2024?

May 20, 10:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.78%chance

435109228

OptionVotes

YES

8428

5214

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

YES

2729

2049

Will Manifold launch real money prizes, and still have them at the end of 2024?

Apr 28, 3:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13612857

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

YES

2141

900

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

48.48%chance

8362

OptionVotes

YES

1175

1174

Will Manifold's post-money valuation be higher than Kalshi's at the end of 2027?

Feb 15, 11:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.92%chance

135489

OptionVotes

YES

1168

922

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

Jan 4, 5:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.3%chance

521590

OptionVotes

YES

1336

727

💸🗳️🤑 Will Trump raise more money than Biden before Election Day?

Feb 25, 6:48 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

39.82%chance

421857

OptionVotes

YES

1154

652

Will Kalshi have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?

Aug 5, 6:19 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

5.53%chance

3019066

OptionVotes

YES

4955

501

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MONEY News

Prediction markets for MONEY

Prediction markets for MONEY

Prediction markets for MONEY

What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include?

Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Scarlett Johansson receive money from OpenAI as a settlement, compensation, or damages by the end of 2024?

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Will Manifold launch real money prizes, and still have them at the end of 2024?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Will Manifold's post-money valuation be higher than Kalshi's at the end of 2027?

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

💸🗳️🤑 Will Trump raise more money than Biden before Election Day?

Will Kalshi have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for MONEY

Prediction markets for MONEY

Prediction markets for MONEY

What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include?

Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Scarlett Johansson receive money from OpenAI as a settlement, compensation, or damages by the end of 2024?

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Will Manifold launch real money prizes, and still have them at the end of 2024?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?