Monday News

152nd Open Qualifying: Rick Shiels, Peter Finch, Nick Benz, Danny Guise, Angelo Giantsopoulos, Brandon Berry, Robert Rock Advance to Final Qualifying
Authors
5
8 days
Golf
Sports

Will Chat GPT 5 release before Blue Monday 2025?

Jun 21, 8:53 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

47.44%chance

4217341

OptionVotes

YES

1053

950

On the Monday before the election, what probability of victory Manifold will think Joe Biden has?

Jul 3, 5:53 PMNov 5, 2:59 AM

19838234

On the Monday before the election, will Manifold think Biden has at most 20% probability of winning?

Jun 4, 5:09 PMNov 6, 2:59 AM

33.25%chance

335856

OptionVotes

YES

1707

503

On the Monday before the election, will Manifold think Biden has at least 80% probability of winning?

May 24, 11:31 PMNov 6, 2:59 AM

6.11%chance

5413495

OptionVotes

YES

4251

1192

At the end of Blue Monday 2025 (Jan 15) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in the last 30 days to buy one bitcoin?

Jan 12, 7:49 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

28.14%chance

18841

OptionVotes

YES

990

983

Will Trump be indicted on a Monday

Mar 22, 4:37 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.97%chance

122114

OptionVotes

YES

1131

956

Will Prince William and Kate Middleton divorce before Blue Monday 2025? (Jan 15)

Mar 17, 10:33 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

5.9%chance

10761

OptionVotes

YES

1685

866

Conditional on Biden not winning, on the Monday before the election, will Manifold give him >=80% chance?

Jun 6, 3:12 AMNov 4, 2:59 AM

5.57%chance

10643

OptionVotes

YES

1278

953

Will Caleb Hammer reach 2M subscribers on Youtube before Blue Monday 2025? (Jan 20)

Mar 10, 6:45 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

12%chance

3233

OptionVotes

YES

325

Will Joseph Anderson release his highly anticipated Witcher 3 review before the end of Blue Monday?

Jun 30, 9:18 PMJan 20, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will Destiny reach 1M subscribers on Youtube before Blue Monday 2025? (Jan 20)

Mar 10, 5:23 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

20.13%chance

51249

OptionVotes

YES

278

Conditional on Biden winning, on the Monday before the election, will Manifold give him >=80% chance?

Jun 6, 3:01 AMNov 4, 2:59 AM

15.24%chance

5194

OptionVotes

YES

260

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Monday News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Monday

Prediction markets for Monday

Prediction markets for Monday

Will Chat GPT 5 release before Blue Monday 2025?

On the Monday before the election, what probability of victory Manifold will think Joe Biden has?

On the Monday before the election, will Manifold think Biden has at most 20% probability of winning?

On the Monday before the election, will Manifold think Biden has at least 80% probability of winning?

At the end of Blue Monday 2025 (Jan 15) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in the last 30 days to buy one bitcoin?

Will Trump be indicted on a Monday

Will Prince William and Kate Middleton divorce before Blue Monday 2025? (Jan 15)

Conditional on Biden not winning, on the Monday before the election, will Manifold give him >=80% chance?

Will Caleb Hammer reach 2M subscribers on Youtube before Blue Monday 2025? (Jan 20)

Will Joseph Anderson release his highly anticipated Witcher 3 review before the end of Blue Monday?

Will Destiny reach 1M subscribers on Youtube before Blue Monday 2025? (Jan 20)

Conditional on Biden winning, on the Monday before the election, will Manifold give him >=80% chance?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Monday

Prediction markets for Monday

Prediction markets for Monday

Will Chat GPT 5 release before Blue Monday 2025?

On the Monday before the election, what probability of victory Manifold will think Joe Biden has?

On the Monday before the election, will Manifold think Biden has at most 20% probability of winning?

On the Monday before the election, will Manifold think Biden has at least 80% probability of winning?

At the end of Blue Monday 2025 (Jan 15) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in the last 30 days to buy one bitcoin?