Mir News

Ukrainian Hackers Claim June 20 DDoS Attack on Russian Banks, Disabling Mir Payment System
Authors
6
10 days
Ukraine
World

Will @Mira cause human extinction by 2030?

Jul 12, 5:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.01%chance

78239469

OptionVotes

YES

2537

1008

Will MIRI receive more than 1 billion USD in funding in a single year before 2030?

Jun 15, 7:33 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.5%chance

203170

OptionVotes

YES

2920

342

Will MIRI run an end of 2025 fundraiser?

May 25, 4:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.52%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

1010

990

Will Mira Murati be CEO of OpenAI before 2029? (again)

May 27, 8:46 AMMar 5, 9:59 PM

29.13%chance

10575

OptionVotes

YES

1560

641

Will Mira Murati work at OpenAI at the end of 2024?

Mar 12, 8:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.04%chance

12489

OptionVotes

YES

1339

864

Will Lin-Manuel Miranda complete an EGOT in his lifetime?

Oct 4, 6:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.8%chance

12232

OptionVotes

YES

1136

883

Is there something weird going on between Mira and firstuserhere?

Nov 4, 8:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20%chance

202441

OptionVotes

YES

1071

960

Will MIRI run an end of 2024 fundraiser?

May 24, 7:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.14%chance

121346

OptionVotes

YES

2220

450

Will @Mira have a positive balance in 2024?

Dec 31, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.73%chance

16885

OptionVotes

YES

1744

744

By the end of 2024, will at least 2 MIRI researchers publicly consider the Infra-Bayesianism agenda to have contributed substantially to solving the alignment problem?

Nov 17, 12:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.1%chance

11468

OptionVotes

YES

1076

968

Will any 3-letter agency be known to have investigated @Mira by end of 2024?

Dec 31, 5:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.28%chance

544344

OptionVotes

YES

1745

820

By 2028, will I think MIRI has been net-good for the world?

Nov 29, 7:22 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

83.1%chance

213644

OptionVotes

YES

1945

671

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Mir News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Mir

Prediction markets for Mir

Prediction markets for Mir

Will @Mira cause human extinction by 2030?

Will MIRI receive more than 1 billion USD in funding in a single year before 2030?

Will MIRI run an end of 2025 fundraiser?

Will Mira Murati be CEO of OpenAI before 2029? (again)

Will Mira Murati work at OpenAI at the end of 2024?

Will Lin-Manuel Miranda complete an EGOT in his lifetime?

Is there something weird going on between Mira and firstuserhere?

Will MIRI run an end of 2024 fundraiser?

Will @Mira have a positive balance in 2024?

By the end of 2024, will at least 2 MIRI researchers publicly consider the Infra-Bayesianism agenda to have contributed substantially to solving the alignment problem?

Will any 3-letter agency be known to have investigated @Mira by end of 2024?

By 2028, will I think MIRI has been net-good for the world?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Mir

Prediction markets for Mir

Prediction markets for Mir

Will @Mira cause human extinction by 2030?

Will MIRI receive more than 1 billion USD in funding in a single year before 2030?

Will MIRI run an end of 2025 fundraiser?

Will Mira Murati be CEO of OpenAI before 2029? (again)

Will Mira Murati work at OpenAI at the end of 2024?

Will Lin-Manuel Miranda complete an EGOT in his lifetime?

Is there something weird going on between Mira and firstuserhere?

Will MIRI run an end of 2024 fundraiser?