Minority Report News

Which of the following movies is the next 25 years most likely to resemble?

Aug 18, 1:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

554131

Will >97% of all jobs be fully automated before the year 2075?

Aug 29, 10:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42%chance

9613162

OptionVotes

YES

1161

1029

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

May 24, 1:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.99%chance

12315247

OptionVotes

YES

3462

1705

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Jun 21, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

64.41%chance

261402

OptionVotes

YES

1345

743

Will cybertrucks rust?

Mar 27, 4:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.83%chance

483647

OptionVotes

YES

1096

882

Will the Houthis successfully attack a U.S. or allied warship in 2024?

Mar 9, 8:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.56%chance

201421

OptionVotes

YES

1557

678

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.15%chance

171247

OptionVotes

YES

1408

888

Will Elon Musk be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 2, 5:03 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

13.79%chance

363906

OptionVotes

YES

1330

914

Will Balaji Srinivasan (entrepreneur, investor) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 18, 12:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.04%chance

12200

OptionVotes

YES

1138

959

Will Brett Harrison (previously President of FTX U.S.) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 15, 3:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.99%chance

15739

OptionVotes

YES

1134

952

Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 19, 3:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.01%chance

7341438

OptionVotes

YES

1921

1306

Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 5, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.61%chance

14655

OptionVotes

YES

986

927

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Minority Report News

Prediction markets for Minority Report

Prediction markets for Minority Report

Prediction markets for Minority Report

Which of the following movies is the next 25 years most likely to resemble?

Will >97% of all jobs be fully automated before the year 2075?

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Will cybertrucks rust?

Will the Houthis successfully attack a U.S. or allied warship in 2024?

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Will Elon Musk be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Balaji Srinivasan (entrepreneur, investor) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Brett Harrison (previously President of FTX U.S.) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Minority Report

Prediction markets for Minority Report

Prediction markets for Minority Report

Which of the following movies is the next 25 years most likely to resemble?

Will >97% of all jobs be fully automated before the year 2075?

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Will cybertrucks rust?

Will the Houthis successfully attack a U.S. or allied warship in 2024?

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?