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Prediction markets for Mindfulness

Will Roon's Tweet about various great minds discussing flops age well by 2027?

Dec 18, 1:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37.33%chance

29947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

664

Will Mark Zuckerbergs prediction of being able to "send messages with your mind" by 01/01/2028 be correct?

Jan 12, 10:26 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

24.59%chance

15261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

986

Will the mind of a C. elegans roundworm be uploaded before 2033?

Feb 6, 10:03 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

73.04%chance

291078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

932

Will the ultimate end of humanity be converting as much of the universe into minds experiencing pleasure as possible?

Aug 26, 5:43 PMAug 27, 3:59 AM

22.72%chance

21468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

943

Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?

Jan 31, 9:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

10132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

986

Will we be able to read AIs minds in 2030?

Mar 24, 5:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.01%chance

31851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

875

When will the first AI Mind Reading technology be used in a legal or policing context?

Dec 1, 9:11 PMDec 12, 9:10 PM

40%chance

111324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

789

Will anyone have their mind read without their prior consent before 2030?

Nov 18, 9:16 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

21.99%chance

322068

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

835

By 2026, the SOTA in image generation will be using mind reading to control the generation.

Aug 25, 9:13 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.17%chance

19968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

864

Will AI be able to read minds by 2030?

Jun 24, 1:12 AMDec 31, 10:00 PM

60.58%chance

15386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

972

Will Yann LeCun change his mind about AI risk before 2025?

May 29, 1:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.12%chance

647531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2298

823

Does the US military use covert technology to read the minds of citizens around the world?

Aug 3, 7:44 PMFeb 23, 7:59 AM

10.44%chance

19858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

929

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29 days
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