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Prediction markets for Military

Will Guyana and Venezuela have a military conflict by the end of 2024? [Ṁ1,000 subsidy]

Oct 24, 3:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

9.7%chance

28670512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9212

1919

Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?

Feb 6, 4:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.76%chance

27776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

924

Military applications of neutrinos by 2050?

Feb 24, 6:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.7%chance

3144939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

957

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Apr 9, 8:12 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

71.32%chance

874490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2239

2085

Will every non-Trump US president have studied at law school or served in the military until 2040?

Apr 13, 6:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

32.23%chance

135490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2106

1843

By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?

Dec 21, 4:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.02%chance

715312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2408

1150

Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?

Jun 1, 12:28 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30%chance

221367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

By 2025, over 50% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?

Jan 3, 9:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.43%chance

411962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

980

Will a Taiwanese, US, Filipino, Japanese or Vietnamese servicemember die confronting the China's military before 2025?

Dec 17, 11:17 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.34%chance

373991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

812

Will Israel free another living hostage by military means in the next 4 months?

Jun 9, 6:20 PMOct 9, 8:59 PM

58.22%chance

696687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

847

Will a NATO country shoot down a Russian military asset by end of 2024?

Mar 25, 7:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

27.29%chance

27953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

922

Will Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum deploy the military against the Cartels?

Jun 4, 10:09 PMJun 6, 6:59 AM

66.23%chance

13676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1400

714

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