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Prediction markets for Microsoft AI

By 2025, will Google be in a winning position in the "AI war" against Microsoft?

Mar 21, 10:55 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

36.52%chance

19828097

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2258

1985

Will Microsoft's new AI research team release any new product by EOY 2024?

Nov 20, 9:51 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.98%chance

221816

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

916

Will Microsoft launch an AI hardware comparable to Rabbit R1 by June 2025?

Jan 17, 4:53 PMJul 1, 2:59 AM

19.96%chance

18397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

979

Will there be a merger of Microsoft's new advanced AI research team and OpenAI?

Nov 20, 3:59 PMJan 1, 9:29 AM

16.37%chance

252135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1373

861

Will Microsoft officially bring back Clippy as a GPT powered AI assistant? (Resolves end of 2024)

Nov 19, 6:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.26%chance

201143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

907

Will Microsoft Corp acquire Mistral AI by the end of 2024?

Feb 26, 9:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.81%chance

27918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1405

902

Will AI-generated text suggestions be publicly available on Microsoft Outlook by end of 2024?

Jan 8, 10:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

85%chance

9673

OptionVotes

NO

YES

389

142

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) will acquire a major AI company by 2025

Jul 22, 1:00 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

58.86%chance

787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

180

161

OpenAI or Microsoft offers or provides AI infra for an LLM in China before 3/2027

Mar 22, 3:15 PMMar 2, 6:59 AM

35.7%chance

6109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

117

If OpenAI ever rebrands, what will their new name be?

Jun 5, 2:11 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

14127

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Apr 13, 10:30 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

23%chance

1586789997

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18174

9179

8) The Microsoft/OpenAI relationship will begin to fray.

Dec 25, 1:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.29%chance

515113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

893

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Microsoft Integrates AMD AI Chips in Azure with Cobalt 100 Processors; Upgrades AI Platforms
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