May December News

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

Jan 2, 3:23 AMDec 2, 5:59 AM

61.2%chance

21512668

OptionVotes

YES

5239

4210

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.42%chance

162892

OptionVotes

YES

7416

3786

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.72%chance

131617

OptionVotes

YES

6137

4627

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.05%chance

179854

OptionVotes

YES

7126

3446

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.88%chance

3411218

OptionVotes

YES

6635

3004

Will GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.54%chance

144904

OptionVotes

YES

4930

3665

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.59%chance

124930

OptionVotes

YES

5204

3441

Will GiveWell fund Eyeglasses to improve workers' manual dexterity by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.85%chance

286395

OptionVotes

YES

7403

3293

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.32%chance

178405

OptionVotes

YES

6331

3305

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.29%chance

111709

OptionVotes

YES

4632

4000

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.03%chance

144070

OptionVotes

YES

5697

3703

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

92626

OptionVotes

YES

4193

4124

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May December News

Prediction markets for May December

Prediction markets for May December

Prediction markets for May December

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Will GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Eyeglasses to improve workers' manual dexterity by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for May December

Prediction markets for May December

Prediction markets for May December

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Will GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?