Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
cbdcs
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Mathematical Olympiad News
Prediction markets for Mathematical Olympiad
Prediction markets for Mathematical Olympiad
Will China win the International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO) 2024
May 18, 1:39 AM
Jul 23, 9:59 PM
90.65%
chance
44
6208
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3410
381
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
May 18, 2:18 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
33.39%
chance
7
1067
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1412
708
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2025?
May 18, 2:16 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
7.73%
chance
19
3541
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3858
580
Will the US win the International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO) 2024
May 18, 1:41 AM
Jul 23, 9:59 PM
10.03%
chance
19
2501
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2994
334
Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?
Mar 4, 1:06 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11.03%
chance
14
732
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1200
927
Will XTX Markets award the grand prize from Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad Prize before 2030?
Nov 27, 6:23 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
42%
chance
8
494
Option
Votes
YES
NO
226
102
When would AI first get a gold medal or equivalent in IMO (International Mathematics Olympiad)
Mar 28, 11:56 AM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
9
588
What will be the first year that an AI gets gold on an International Mathematical Olympiad?
Jun 25, 3:58 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
51
12628
When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?
Nov 29, 5:50 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
42
2963
What will be true of the company Safe Superintelligence (SSI) by the end of 2025? (Add Answers)
Jun 19, 6:01 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
65
32317
What IMO Shortlist topic (ACN) will be the second easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?
Jan 17, 11:18 PM
Dec 30, 10:59 PM
6
114
All answers resolve to YES when an AI wins IMO gold. Each answer resolves to NO with X% chance each year.
Dec 25, 1:05 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
19
2414
Articles
Latest stories
Google and Researchers Enhance Mathematical Reasoning in LLMs, Achieving 69.4% on MATH Benchmarks
Authors
4
19 days
AI
Tech
Previous
Next
