Math News

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Feb 26, 6:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23%chance

19181627132

OptionVotes

YES

8937

7483

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?

Mar 23, 6:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70%chance

6352089

OptionVotes

YES

1044

842

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?

Sep 26, 9:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

12932009

OptionVotes

YES

1950

1438

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?

Apr 23, 11:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47%chance

375660

OptionVotes

YES

1015

943

Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

Jul 23, 1:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.42%chance

12725778

OptionVotes

YES

1557

944

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

May 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

416151

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?

Sep 26, 12:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

58.6%chance

8839849

OptionVotes

YES

1471

784

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?

Apr 9, 11:42 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

352915

OptionVotes

YES

979

962

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

May 23, 1:22 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

75.03%chance

362074

OptionVotes

YES

1733

577

Will I major in math?

Oct 18, 10:56 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM

24.54%chance

386433

OptionVotes

YES

1021

792

China will win and the US will finish second in the 2024 International Math Olympiad

Jan 16, 6:20 PMOct 1, 3:59 AM

58.41%chance

412747

OptionVotes

YES

1161

844

Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does?

Dec 3, 2:54 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

29.51%chance

16291

OptionVotes

YES

1051

969

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Math News

Prediction markets for Math

Prediction markets for Math

Prediction markets for Math

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?

Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

Will I major in math?

China will win and the US will finish second in the 2024 International Math Olympiad

Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Math

Prediction markets for Math

Prediction markets for Math

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?

Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?