Mass News

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.32%chance

178405

OptionVotes

YES

6331

3305

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.6%chance

575189

OptionVotes

YES

2503

2181

Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?

Jun 12, 9:40 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

32.89%chance

567116

OptionVotes

YES

1428

700

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

Jan 17, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.05%chance

20879

OptionVotes

YES

1687

1185

Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:26 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.17%chance

597641

OptionVotes

YES

2549

457

Will an EU country mass-expel Muslims by 2050?

Aug 5, 7:19 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.21%chance

291196

OptionVotes

YES

1035

853

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.5%chance

13171

OptionVotes

YES

1003

990

Will there be a mass-produced reversible computer on the market by 2032?

May 16, 12:26 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.28%chance

14365

OptionVotes

YES

1085

968

Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?

Dec 22, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.69%chance

381445

OptionVotes

YES

1012

924

Will any state or company implement mass production of living humans by 2200?

Mar 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

26.83%chance

17559

OptionVotes

YES

1014

981

Will Meta undergo another mass-firing round by December 2024

Jan 10, 11:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

49.54%chance

281170

OptionVotes

YES

1026

968

Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?

Jan 10, 1:12 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

24.9%chance

18659

OptionVotes

YES

1035

977

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Mass News

Prediction markets for Mass

Prediction markets for Mass

Prediction markets for Mass

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?

Will an EU country mass-expel Muslims by 2050?

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will there be a mass-produced reversible computer on the market by 2032?

Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?

Will any state or company implement mass production of living humans by 2200?

Will Meta undergo another mass-firing round by December 2024

Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Mass

Prediction markets for Mass

Prediction markets for Mass

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?

Will an EU country mass-expel Muslims by 2050?

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?