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Marginal Risk News
Prediction markets for Marginal Risk
Prediction markets for Marginal Risk
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.29%
chance
11
1709
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4632
4000
Will "EA orgs' legal structure inhibits risk taking..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Feb 24, 2:21 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
11.01%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
92
Will GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:08 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
30.52%
chance
8
143
Option
Votes
YES
NO
217
171
Will the 1st AGI solve AI Alignment and build an ASI which is aligned with its goals?
Mar 11, 5:20 PM
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
87.43%
chance
4
975
Option
Votes
NO
YES
164
5
Articles
Latest stories
Chicago Hits 60 Degrees Amid Level 1 Severe Weather Risk, Tornado Confirmed
Authors
21
5 months
Climate
Environment
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