March News

Kyrgyzstan Arrests 15 Suspected ISIS Supporters in Bishkek and Chui
Authors
6
13 days
Middle East
World

Will there be a "Balenciaga Harry"-style meme featuring FTX ex-employees? (by March 2025)

Oct 2, 4:57 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

66.61%chance

121637

OptionVotes

YES

1007

961

Will Grok 2 'exceed current [March 28 2024] AI on all metrics'?

Mar 29, 11:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.72%chance

11123721

OptionVotes

YES

1371

699

Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025?

May 27, 4:18 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

29.64%chance

273048

OptionVotes

YES

1541

649

Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?

Mar 1, 1:34 AMMar 1, 3:00 AM

24.53%chance

251711

OptionVotes

YES

1016

964

Trump will be found guilty in the election conspiracy trial, current scheduled for 2024 March 4

Oct 2, 10:27 PMMar 4, 11:59 PM

71.2%chance

13293

OptionVotes

YES

997

992

Will Lesswrong get fewer visits in March 2026 than in March 2023?

Mar 28, 11:13 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

32.15%chance

15247

OptionVotes

YES

1010

989

There are no USA Presidents that had Green eyes. Will there be one by March 1st 2063?

Mar 21, 5:50 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

26.23%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

1006

973

an LLM as capable as GPT-4 runs on one 4090 by March 2025

Feb 5, 7:32 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM

27.64%chance

12745

OptionVotes

YES

998

920

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before March 2025?

Jan 8, 10:31 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

24.09%chance

11502

OptionVotes

YES

1034

978

By March 15, 2025, will Manifold users still have the authority to resolve markets they have traded on?

Mar 13, 4:30 PMMar 16, 3:59 AM

75.32%chance

15951

OptionVotes

YES

1055

957

Will hormone replacement therapy be generally legal for adults in at least 40 US states as of March 01, 2025?

Mar 30, 3:23 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

76.01%chance

12654

OptionVotes

YES

1231

903

Will Reddit dip below their IPO price of $34 before March 2025?

Mar 22, 1:25 AMFeb 28, 12:59 PM

77.31%chance

15367

OptionVotes

YES

1254

894

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6
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5
1 month
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3 months
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March News

Top stories

Prediction markets for March

Prediction markets for March

Prediction markets for March

Will there be a "Balenciaga Harry"-style meme featuring FTX ex-employees? (by March 2025)

Will Grok 2 'exceed current [March 28 2024] AI on all metrics'?

Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025?

Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?

Trump will be found guilty in the election conspiracy trial, current scheduled for 2024 March 4

Will Lesswrong get fewer visits in March 2026 than in March 2023?

There are no USA Presidents that had Green eyes. Will there be one by March 1st 2063?

an LLM as capable as GPT-4 runs on one 4090 by March 2025

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before March 2025?

By March 15, 2025, will Manifold users still have the authority to resolve markets they have traded on?

Will hormone replacement therapy be generally legal for adults in at least 40 US states as of March 01, 2025?

Will Reddit dip below their IPO price of $34 before March 2025?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for March

Prediction markets for March

Prediction markets for March

Will there be a "Balenciaga Harry"-style meme featuring FTX ex-employees? (by March 2025)

Will Grok 2 'exceed current [March 28 2024] AI on all metrics'?

Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025?

Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?

Trump will be found guilty in the election conspiracy trial, current scheduled for 2024 March 4

Will Lesswrong get fewer visits in March 2026 than in March 2023?

There are no USA Presidents that had Green eyes. Will there be one by March 1st 2063?

an LLM as capable as GPT-4 runs on one 4090 by March 2025

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before March 2025?

By March 15, 2025, will Manifold users still have the authority to resolve markets they have traded on?

Will hormone replacement therapy be generally legal for adults in at least 40 US states as of March 01, 2025?

Will Reddit dip below their IPO price of $34 before March 2025?

Latest stories