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Prediction markets for Linux Kernel
Prediction markets for Linux Kernel
By the end of 2024, will at least 1 substantive Linux kernel commit have been written entirel by a large language model?
Mar 14, 9:46 PM
Dec 31, 2:59 PM
5.15%
chance
17
1993
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1856
885
Which release of Linux kernel will have the first Rust-only driver for consumer-grade hardware ?
Mar 1, 5:59 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
3
113
Will the Linux kernel still be an actively maintained project in 2050?
Mar 29, 12:48 PM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
73.07%
chance
8
134
Option
Votes
NO
YES
349
180
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED]
Oct 10, 10:57 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
46
8703
Will a supply chain attack akin to the xz backdoor targeting developer toolchains be discovered before 2025?
Apr 4, 3:40 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
28.58%
chance
19
835
Option
Votes
NO
YES
998
942
Will Fuchsia ship in a non-Google product this decade?
Sep 1, 12:11 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
49.64%
chance
4
42
Option
Votes
NO
YES
72
67
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Chinese and North Korean Hackers, Including ChamelGang, Linked to Global Ransomware Attacks on AIIMS
Authors
9
6 days
China
North Korea
Infosec
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