Like That News

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:36 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM

48.74%chance

162332

OptionVotes

YES

1632

839

GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?

Jun 1, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.03%chance

17454

OptionVotes

YES

1217

928

How comfident do you think one should be that their crush doesn't like them back so that it's better not to confess ?

May 25, 7:46 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

34.62%chance

3415

OptionVotes

YES

1374

728

Will the claim that people that grew up with GPT-like systems are smarter be plausible by 2050?

Mar 21, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.31%chance

10140

OptionVotes

YES

1107

957

Will there be a humanoid robot that can move with human-like precision and flexibility before April of 2028?

Mar 14, 6:18 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

35.61%chance

382595

OptionVotes

YES

1013

954

Will I write a satirical tweet in the next 6 months on the “trust the science” discourse, that gets more than 150 likes?

Jan 14, 5:41 PMJul 15, 3:59 AM

36.01%chance

15791

OptionVotes

YES

1170

788

In 2030, will it seem more likely that vaccines contribute to autism than it did in 2023?

Aug 18, 9:30 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.83%chance

392637

OptionVotes

YES

1553

921

Will there exist open-source text-to-game AI models that can create a game like Halo 3 just by prompting by end of 2025?

Dec 31, 1:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.87%chance

19906

OptionVotes

YES

1093

963

will this tweet hold up: I predict that chess will be essentially fully solved (like checkers) within 10 years.

May 13, 4:45 PMMay 14, 6:59 AM

10%chance

251262

OptionVotes

YES

965

841

Which organization will most likely build the AI that destroys humanity? (See special resolution method)

May 27, 4:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

335

When will a video game exist with a practically infinite world (like Minecraft) that looks as nice as the BOTW world?

May 31, 3:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.99%chance

693

OptionVotes

YES

142

Will playing a FPS game like doom or system shock that flickers at 40Hz be shown to stimulate glymphatic clearance?

Apr 10, 9:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.8%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

131

110

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Like That News

Prediction markets for Like That

Prediction markets for Like That

Prediction markets for Like That

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?

How comfident do you think one should be that their crush doesn't like them back so that it's better not to confess ?

Will the claim that people that grew up with GPT-like systems are smarter be plausible by 2050?

Will there be a humanoid robot that can move with human-like precision and flexibility before April of 2028?

Will I write a satirical tweet in the next 6 months on the “trust the science” discourse, that gets more than 150 likes?

In 2030, will it seem more likely that vaccines contribute to autism than it did in 2023?

Will there exist open-source text-to-game AI models that can create a game like Halo 3 just by prompting by end of 2025?

will this tweet hold up: I predict that chess will be essentially fully solved (like checkers) within 10 years.

Which organization will most likely build the AI that destroys humanity? (See special resolution method)

When will a video game exist with a practically infinite world (like Minecraft) that looks as nice as the BOTW world?

Will playing a FPS game like doom or system shock that flickers at 40Hz be shown to stimulate glymphatic clearance?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Like That

Prediction markets for Like That

Prediction markets for Like That

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?

How comfident do you think one should be that their crush doesn't like them back so that it's better not to confess ?

Will the claim that people that grew up with GPT-like systems are smarter be plausible by 2050?

Will there be a humanoid robot that can move with human-like precision and flexibility before April of 2028?

Will I write a satirical tweet in the next 6 months on the “trust the science” discourse, that gets more than 150 likes?

In 2030, will it seem more likely that vaccines contribute to autism than it did in 2023?