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Like Crazy News
Prediction markets for Like Crazy
Prediction markets for Like Crazy
Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?
Oct 26, 5:58 PM
Nov 6, 5:59 AM
50.99%
chance
85
17789
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1800
1080
Will a "Sharp Left Turn" occur (as described by the Alignment Forum, Nate Soares, and Victoria Krakovna et. al.)?
Apr 12, 8:49 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
34.04%
chance
19
700
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1003
994
Will manifold offer private business subscription services by Dec 31, 2024.
Oct 23, 3:31 PM
Jan 2, 3:59 AM
19.93%
chance
5
536
Option
Votes
YES
NO
164
107
When will I acquire Florence Vassey as a blorbo?
Dec 21, 4:01 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
30
Google Maps Mega Market - all feature ideas, destroy the monopoly pl SEC, by end 2024
Nov 26, 3:34 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
21
3403
Manifold does FIRE - will I (@riggy) retire before the end of year X?
Apr 12, 2:07 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
7
221
Will Moat Door Skip be performed RTA by 2030?
Jan 8, 8:59 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
68.66%
chance
2
94
Option
Votes
NO
YES
94
54
duck_master's prop bets / AMA / recommendations [add answers!]
Apr 12, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5
102
Will a consensus emerge that GM Daniel Naroditsky is a cheater on online blitz by June 2025?
Jan 28, 7:37 PM
Jul 1, 2:59 AM
6.37%
chance
5
223
Option
Votes
YES
NO
300
91
If Musk and Zuck fight, will they be natty?
Jun 24, 12:07 AM
Aug 24, 3:59 AM
25.46%
chance
4
70
Option
Votes
YES
NO
190
96
Can you be "working for" someone without actually doing any work?
Jan 18, 7:16 PM
8
0
If Aliens Experience More Meaningful Lives Than us, Ought we Accept Our Demise? (Read Description)
Apr 16, 6:00 PM
10
0
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25
7 months
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