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Libs News
Prediction markets for Libs
Prediction markets for Libs
Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?
Feb 22, 1:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
16.65%
chance
37
2112
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1599
755
If Trump wins the election, will there be a new iconic lib reaction meme like in 2016?
Apr 18, 12:32 PM
Nov 10, 10:59 PM
76.94%
chance
12
440
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1378
844
Will Basil Zempilas become the leader of the Liberal Party before the next state election?
Jun 21, 7:48 PM
Mar 8, 3:59 PM
50.48%
chance
1
100
Option
Votes
NO
YES
10097
9904
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
334
294277
Which party will represent the Waveney Valley constituency following the next UK general election after 2019?
May 7, 2:43 PM
Jan 24, 12:00 AM
7
1129
What should the Trump campaign be doing right now to increase their chances of winning the election?
Mar 6, 5:47 PM
Dec 8, 7:59 AM
37
2187
Who will be the next Premier of Tasmania?
Apr 12, 10:49 PM
Apr 13, 1:59 PM
4
513
What will be true of the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party?
Feb 13, 6:49 PM
May 1, 10:59 PM
31
3734
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term?
Feb 23, 9:36 PM
Jan 21, 10:59 PM
69.11%
chance
120
19105
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1132
984
Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?
Sep 11, 5:08 AM
Oct 21, 6:59 AM
13.01%
chance
179
62470
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7783
1922
Would Nonlinear win a libel suit against Lightcone or Ben Pace?
Dec 19, 9:38 PM
Dec 20, 4:59 AM
22.83%
chance
47
10000
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2914
1288
Will Justin Trudeau lead the Liberal Party in the next federal election in Canada?
Oct 9, 6:28 AM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
59.55%
chance
21
2370
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1183
583
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