Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Leopards News
Prediction markets for Leopards
Prediction markets for Leopards
Will the Leopard (Panthera pardus) become extinct in the current century?
Feb 22, 9:32 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
28.72%
chance
13
243
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1105
948
Will the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party win the 2024 Manifold election?
Apr 8, 3:28 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
45.36%
chance
19
467
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1063
931
Will the Snow Leopard (Panthera uncia) become extinct in the current century?
Feb 22, 9:43 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
49.83%
chance
9
190
Option
Votes
YES
NO
216
157
Is the "anon-leopard" model on the Chatbot Arena Grok 2?
Jun 7, 10:54 AM
Jul 8, 6:59 AM
18.44%
chance
5
149
Option
Votes
YES
NO
210
48
Will the Clouded Leopard (Neofelis nebulosa) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 30, 6:24 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
36.7%
chance
5
129
Option
Votes
YES
NO
245
167
Is the "anon-leopard" model on the Chatbot Arena the ~400B parameter Llama-3?
Jun 7, 10:56 AM
Jul 8, 6:59 AM
6.28%
chance
3
290
Option
Votes
YES
NO
386
26
Would you vote for the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party?
Apr 6, 9:29 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
105
0
[Add options] What will be voted the funniest out-of-context Manifold comment at the end of 2024?
Apr 3, 3:42 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11
1011
Which of these books will I enjoy reading in 2024?
Jan 25, 3:33 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
54
3091
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 24, 7:07 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
242
250189
Articles
Latest stories
Significant Russian and Ukrainian Military Losses Reported in May; Russian Manpower Losses Reach 500,000
Authors
9
1 month
Ukraine
World
Ukraine Reports Significant Russian Losses; Russia Details Ukrainian Casualties, Including 3,000 Tanks and 43,080 Personnel
Authors
5
1 month
Ukraine
World
Previous
Next
